Switch to Cash?

Your Money - Switching to Cash May Feel Safe, but Risks Remain - NYTimes.com: "It’s a question we’ve all asked in our darker moments of late: Why not just put all of our investments in cash, 100 percent, just for a little while, until things calm down?"

Some people already seem to be acting on that instinct. In the first six days of October (through Monday), investors pulled $19 billion out of mutual funds that invest in United States stocks, matching the outflows for the entire month of September.

By fleeing for the comfort of safe and insured, however, investors with a time horizon beyond a few years may be doing real damage to their long-term finances. If you’re tempted to make a big move to cash right now, you’re doing something called market timing. It’s an implied statement that you’ve figured out the right moment to get out of stocks — and will also know the right time to get back in.

So let’s dispense with the first part straightaway. The right time to move out of stocks was a year or so ago, before various stock indexes the world over fell by one-third or more.

If you missed that opportunity, you’re hardly alone.

But if you sell now, you’ll be locking in your losses. And once you’re in cash, there isn’t much upside. In fact, with interest rates low, you’re likely to lose money in cash, because inflation will probably eat up the after-tax returns you earn from a savings or money-market account.

Bloomberg.com: Exclusive

Bloomberg.com: Exclusive: "Banks for McClatchy, owner of the Miami Herald, demanded as much as 2.25 percentage points more in annual interest to relax the publisher's lending agreements, the Sacramento, California- based company said in a Sept. 30 regulatory filing. McClatchy was paying an interest margin of 1.25 percentage points at the start of the year. San Francisco-based construction-supplier Building Materials agreed last week to pay an extra 3.5 percentage points on $340 million of loans after its earnings fell below targets, according to a Sept. 30 filing.

``We're in a credit crunch and getting those covenants amended will be lot more painful,'' said Andrew Feltus, who oversees $8 billion in high-yield debt at Pioneer Investment Management Co. Inc. in Boston.

Debt rated below Baa3 by Moody's and less than BBB- at S&P is considered junk, or in the case of loans, leveraged. Loans are typically made by banks such as Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co., which then sell pieces to mutual funds, hedge funds and other institutional investors.

The market for leveraged loans ballooned as banks arranged $956 billion of the debt in the first half of 2007, compared with $549 billion in 2005 as banks raced to finance the record amount of buyouts. The market ground to a halt a year ago as the subprime mortgage contagion spread, making investors"