PIMCO - IO Feb 2009 Gross Beep Beep

PIMCO - IO Feb 2009 Gross Beep Beep: "But stopping the decline of asset prices can be and has been attempted in numerous, seemingly uncoordinated ways. Recapitalization of the banks has been the major thrust, in the hopes that banks would extend credit which would reinvigorate asset pricing. Those who argue strongly for a recapitalization of the banking system, however, may be missing the distinction between the banking system as we once knew it, and the “shadow banking” system that superseded it. Jim Bianco, who heads up the research tank bearing his own name, brought the difference to mind in a recently produced piece entitled, “When Will The Banks Start Lending?” His conclusion was that banks already were – lending – but it was the “shadow system” (my words) that was holding up the parade. According to his analysis, shown in Chart 1, securitization has for several years exceeded bank loans as a percentage of private credit market debt. In contrast to recent headlines, however, banks have been picking up their lending, but it has been the “shadow banks” that have faltered. That makes sense. While banks may have tightened their lending standards, fresh capital from the TARP has made it possible to make new loans. The shadow banks, however – hedge funds, investment banks, and str"

Zero Hedge

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Zero Hedge: "So does the upcoming bailout have the makings of actually fixing the structural problems in the economy? Some thoughts on the various approaches, from BAC:

Aggregator Bank

This is an off balance sheet vehicle that pools multiple bank’s bad assets into one “Bad Bank” or “Aggregator Bank” that can both manage and dispose of the bad assets it buys from banks. To alleviate the pricing problem, the bad bank could focus on trading account securities and loans that have been most heavily marked down. By either taking these at the latest mark, or standardizing these marks across banks of the (relatively) more price transparent assets, the pricing issue – setting the correct price to protect taxpayers – could be avoided. The impact of this move would remove further downside uncertainty for the banks, freeing them up from those assets (while at the same time transferring all future upside to the government as well). However, that pool would be limited to those deemed sufficiently marked down to be able to avoid both price uncertainty and the potential that by setting too low of a price, further capital inadequacy issues would be exacerbated. These were the core problems of the first TARP program.

Ring fencing

This approach has two attractions. First, it avoids having to deal with the pricing issue. This is important for loans with no ready price an"

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Bloomberg.com: Exclusive

Bloomberg.com: Exclusive: "Lenders, reeling from an almost 20 percent decline in loan prices, are punishing borrowers in jeopardy of breaking their loan agreements as the economy teeters on recession. As many as 135 companies are in danger of breaching targets set by their banks, S&P says. Sam Zell's Tribune Corp. and Leon Black's Realogy Corp. may soon trip their covenants, according to Moody's Investors Service, which like S&P is based in New York.

``We would use an opportunity of a company violating a covenant as an opportunity to strengthen our hand, particularly in a deal where the spread is too thin or original terms were too generous,'' said Scott Page, head of the bank loan group at Eaton Vance Corp. The Boston-based firm oversees about $156 billion."

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Bloomberg.com: Exclusive

Value of $1 over time - in 1776 dollarsBloomberg.com: Exclusive: "McClatchy Co., Building Materials Holding Corp. and almost 100 other companies across the U.S. are suffering payback from lenders stung by at least $112 billion of losses in the loan market.

Banks and investors who are losing money on the record $1.7 trillion of high-yield, high-risk loans made in 2006 and 2007 are charging borrowers an average of 1.64 percentage points more in interest to amend borrowing agreements and avoid default, according to Standard & Poor's. That's the highest since 1997 and almost eight times more than the first half of last year."

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